What are Obama's Chances?

Paul Kedrosky's viz below allows you to choose economic conditions, and then view the historical election data of incumbants who faced similar circumstances.

About this Viz

As you can see, if Obama can manage to keep the economy out of recession, and steer employment under the level it was at when he was elected, he has a decent chance of winning. Even under the worst of circumstances, his chances are 50/50.